10 Senate Seats That Might Flip Parties This Fall

Pennsylvania

Given the recent viral jeering in Pennsylvania, the real question is if Republican voters will want to “come home” for Senate nominee Mehmet Oz. Will they vote for the celebrity doctor, who didn’t seem to care when it comes to repairing his image after an ugly May primary?

This is one of the reasons why Pennsylvania, where Biden won in 2020, is most likely to flip this fall, as Oz and Democratic Lt. Gov John Fetterman are about to replace retiring GOP Sen. Pat Toomey. In such a critical battleground, which was visited both by Biden and Trump over the holiday weekend, the race is about to tighten even more.

Nevada

Biden won here by 2 points in 2020, but it seems that, for the moment, is the seat that’s most likely to flip. Senator Catherine Cortez Masto didn’t start off like other swing-state Democratic incumbents that had to face reelection for the first time.

She’s now running in a state where economic concerns are extremely pressing. Her challenger, former state Attorney General Adam Laxalt, who’s the grandson of a former governor and senator, secured his support from both McConnell and Trump and managed to comfortably win his primary in June. If there is one thing that could work for Democrats in November, no matter the current economic situation is abortion.

Wisconsin

The Badger State moves up two spots on the list, as the seat has more and more chances to flip than it did in the middle of the summer. There is a minimum of two public polls that suggested GOP incumbent Ron Johnson is in big trouble, especially against Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes.

Last month, at the Democratic primary elections, Barnes had 50%, while Johnson had 46%. In another Marquette Law School poll, Barnes led Johnson 51% to 44%. In both of these surveys, inflation was the number one problem.

Georgia

Georgia is now in the 4th spot this month. Even if the Peach State when completely blue in 2020 and elected two Democratic senators, voters have been accustomed to voting for Republicans. This means that Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock, who wants to get a six-year term in November, is seriously in the game.

However, the wild card here is his GOP opponent, Herschel Walker, who’s a Trump recruit that Republicans have struggled to keep out of this race. There’s a new ad from a Democratic outside group that shows footage of the candidate and his ex-wife, and how he once put a gun to her head (Walker is known to suffer from multiple personality disorder, and has sought advice from people who work with mental health problems.)

However, it seems that the Democrats have plenty of other things to attack him on, like his destructive habit of saying controversial things when he goes off script.

Arizona

Democratic Senator Mark Kelly wants to run for a full six-year term in November. However, he faces very tough reelection, because he’s running in an ancestrally red state. Republican Blake Masters won the early August primary with a little bit of help from Trump, and a lot of financial support from billionaire tech mogul Peter Thiel.

However, according to a CNN report, Thiel isn’t committed to getting him over the finish line, and Masters has a lot of trouble finding money to compete with Kelly.